Financial Prediction Markets

Turn Your Market
Conviction
Into Real Returns

Trade short-duration contracts on earnings outcomes, Fed decisions, and stock price milestones — built for investors who do the research, not gamblers chasing odds.

Start Trading See How It Works

No sportsbook accounts. No crypto wallets. Pure market conviction.

AAPL Q2 Earnings

Will Apple beat EPS by more than 4%?

LIVE

Expires in 3d 14h $2.4M volume

Fed Decision · Jul

Will the Fed cut rates by 25bps?

LIVE

Expires in 18d 6h $5.8M volume

Price Milestone · NVDA

Will NVDA close above $1,200 this month?

SOON

Opens in 2d Notify me

LIVE MARKETS

AAPL Q2 EPS Beat 62¢ YES · Fed Cut Jul 71¢ YES · SPX +5% Q3 38¢ YES · MSFT Revenue Miss 28¢ YES · TSLA Below $200 EOM 55¢ YES

The Acuity Platform

Where Informed Investors
Act With Precision

2,400+ Active contracts per quarter

$180M+ Total contract volume traded

94% Settlement accuracy rate

48h Average contract duration

Contract Categories

Earnings Outcomes Fed Rate Decisions Price Milestones Sector Moves CPI & Macro Events M&A Completions

Top Forecaster Accuracy by Category

Earnings Outcomes 78%

Fed Rate Decisions 82%

Price Milestones 71%

Sector Moves 69%

Based on top-quartile forecasters, trailing 12 months.

Product Features

Built for the Way
Serious Investors Think

Earnings Intelligence

Trade What You Read in the Earnings Reports

Every quarter you study earnings calls, analyst estimates, and guidance revisions. Now turn that research into a position. Acuity lists Yes/No contracts on EPS beats, revenue guidance, and margin direction — settled within hours of the release.

Contracts expire within 72 hours of each earnings event. No overnight drift, no earnings risk held for weeks.

Professional woman in glasses reviewing financial documents at her office desk.

Fed & Macro Events

Finally, a Clean Way to Trade Fed Day

You've analyzed FOMC meeting minutes, studied the dot plot, and formed a view on the rate path. Acuity contracts on rate decisions, statement language, and press conference sentiment let you act on that view — cleanly and precisely.

Macro contracts settle against official Fed statements and government data releases, with no ambiguity in outcome.

Detailed view of a stock market screen showing numbers and data, symbolizing financial trading.

Price Milestones

Your Price Target,
Your Contract

You've done the DCF. You have a price target. Acuity lets you build contracts around specific price levels — will NVDA close above $1,100 by month end? Will the SPX breach 5,500 before the next FOMC? Take a position, set your size, collect if you're right.

Price Milestone · NVDA LIVE

Will NVDA close above $1,200 by July 31?

44¢

YES

56¢

Each contract settles at $1.00 — you keep the difference.

Why Acuity

Designed for Investors,
Not Gamblers

Every other prediction market treats financial events as just another bet. Acuity is built from the ground up for people who actually read the reports.

"Most platforms treat Fed decisions like a coin flip. Acuity treats them like what they are — a policy event with a paper trail."

— Acuity Beta Tester, Portfolio Manager

Feature	Acuity	Kalshi	Polymarket
Stock & earnings focus	✓	Partial	—
No crypto wallet required	✓	✓	—
Contracts on Fed decisions	✓	✓	—
Investor-grade interface	✓	—	—
Earnings contract depth	✓	—	—
Sub-72h contract duration	✓	✓	—
No sportsbook aesthetic	✓	—	—

Conviction-Driven

We believe research should have a return. If you've done the work, you deserve a vehicle to profit from it — not just watch it play out.

Precision Settlement

Every contract settles against an unambiguous, verifiable financial event. No interpretation, no house edge on outcomes — just the number in the release.

Investor-First Design

Built for the Bloomberg-native investor — dense data, clean presentation, no noise. The interface respects your intelligence and your time.

Pricing

Simple, Transparent Tiers

No hidden fees. No spread manipulation. You see the contract price — that is the price.

Observer

Free

Paper trade with no real money

Full market visibility

Paper trading with virtual $10K

Historical settlement data

Live contract trading

Portfolio analytics

Start Free

Your Research
Deserves a Return

Join 14,000 investors who turned their market knowledge into real positions. Your first 30 days are free — no credit card, no crypto wallet.

SEC-compliant platform

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"Invest in what you know."

Turn Your Market Conviction Into Real Returns

Where Informed Investors Act With Precision

Built for the Way Serious Investors Think